This is an outdated version published on 2024-02-18. Read the most recent version.

Burying the Hatchet but with the Handle Sticking Out

The Egyptian–Turkish Rapprochement – and its Questions

Authors

  • Lukács Krajcsír phd

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59569/jceeas.2023.3.2.160

Keywords:

Egypt, East Mediterranean, Lybia, Muslim Brotherhood, Turkey

Abstract

Since 2013, the relations between the two biggest conventional military powers of the Middle East became very hostile. The Egyptian-Turkish tensions affected not just the bilateral dimension, but Libya, the Eastern Mediterranean, and other regions too. Moreover, in 2020, there were signs of possible direct military conflict between Ankara and Cairo.
Fortunately, this did not happen, and the wind of change began to blow at the end of the year. The rapprochement slowly but steady developed: in 2022, the leaders of the two countries met with each other and shook hands. Yet before this paper was finalised, however, there were still plenty of questions hanging over a possible Egyptian–Turkish rapprochement. There is no doubt that normalisation has started between Ankara and Cairo in recent years, but its outcome remains uncertain.
In summary: this paper strives to present the recent history of Egyptian-Turkish relations since the outbreak of the so-called Arab Spring, the main points of the regional “cold war” between Ankara and Cairo, and in the end, the remaining pitfalls of rapprochement.

References

Adar, S. and Toygür, I. (2020) Turkey, the EU and the Eastern Mediterranean crisis: Militarization of foreign policy and power rivalry,’ SWP – Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 62, pp. 1-4. Available at: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/256657/1/2020C62.pdf (Accessed: 24 January 2024) DOI: https://doi.org/10.18449/2020C62; ISSN 1861-1761

Adly, A. (2021) ‘How Egypt and Turkey Trade Amid Tensions,’ Carnegie Middle East Center, 19 October. Available at https://carnegie-mec.org/2021/10/19/how-egypt-and-turkey-trade-amid-tensions-pub-85584 (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Aksoy, H. A. and Roll, S. (2021) ‘A Thaw in Relations between Egypt and Turkey,’ SWP – Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 39, 1-4. Available at: https://www.swp-berlin.org/publications/products/comments/2021C39_EgyptAndTurkey.pdf (Accessed: 24 January 2024) DOI: https://doi.org/10.18449/2021C39; ISSN 1861-1761

Al-Anani, K. (2020) ‘Egypt-Turkey Strained Relations: Implications for Regional Security,’ Arab Center Washington DC, 18 March. Available at https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/egypt-turkey-strained-relations-implications-for-regional-security/ (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Al-Anani, K. (2022) ‘Egypt-Turkey Relations: Challenges and Future Prospects,’ Arab Center Washington DC, 18 October. Available at https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/egypt-turkey-relations-challenges-and-future-prospects/ (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Al-Jazeera (2019) ‘Turkish President Erdogan Denounces Egypt’s Sisi over Executions’, Al-Jazeera, 24 February. Available at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/2/24/turkish-president-erdogan-denounces-egypts-sisi-over-executions (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Al-Jazeera (2022) ‘Egypt Hails el-Sisi, Erdogan Handshake as New Beginning in Ties,’ Al-Jazeera, 21 November. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/21/egypt-hails-el-sisi-erdogan-handshake-as-new-beginning-in-ties (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Altunışık, M. (2019) ‘Turkeys Relations with Egypt and Saudi Arabia: From Hopes of Cooperation to the Reality of Conflict,’ in: Tol, G. and Dumke, D. (eds.) Aspiring Powers, Regional Rivals Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the New Middle East. Middle East Institute: Washington, United States, pp. 17-38. ISBN 979-8612846444

Bardakçı, M. (2022) ‘Turkey's New Middle East Policy: The Challenges and Ramifications of “Normalization”,’ Israel Journal of Foreign Affairs, 15(3), pp. 441-457. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23739770.2021.2026050; ISSN 2373-9770

Bradley, M. (2012) ‘Turkey to Provide Egypt $2 Billion in Aid,’ The Wall Street Journal, 15 September. Available at:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10000872396390444517304577653852418813354 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

BBC (2013) ‘Egypt Expels Turkish Ambassador,’ BBC, 23 November. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-25066115 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Cousins, M. (2017) ‘Egypt’s oil companies plan return to Libya,’ LibyaHerald, 5 April. Available at https://www.libyaherald.com/2017/04/egypts-oil-companies-look-to-return-to-libya/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Egeresi, Z. (2022a) ‘Mélyülő válságban a török gazdaság, de okozhatja-e ez Erdogan vesztét? (The Turkish economy is in deepening crisis,but could this be the cause of Erdogan's downfall?),’ 24.hu, 20 Feburary. Available at https://24.hu/kulfold/2022/02/20/torok-gazdasag-valsag-inflacio-erdogan/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023).

Egeresi, Z. (2022b) ‘Törökország és Izrael közeledése (Convergence of Turkey and Israel),’ KKI-elemzések, 22, pp. 1-9. ISSN 2416-0148

Éva, Á. (2016) ‘A török “stratégiai mélység” doktrína és a Közel-Kelet realitásai az arab tavasz után (The Turkish Doctrine of “Strategic Depth” and the Realities of the Middle East after the Arab Spring),’ In: Baranyai, T. P. and Szálkai, K. (eds.) Újhold – a török külpolitikai útkeresése a 21. század elején (New Moon – Pathfinding of Turkish Foreign Policy at the beginning of the 21st century). Antall József Tudásközpont: Budapest, Hungary, pp. 282-283. ISBN 2399988177377

Fouad, T. (2011) ‘Egypt and Turkey, an Axis against Democracy?’, Democrati, 30 September. Available at https://democrati.net/2011/09/30/egypt-and-turkey-an-axis-against-democracy/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Hanya, H.A. (2020) ‘The Unlikely War between Egypt and Turkey in Libya,’ Middle East Monitor, 14 July. Available at https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200714-the-unlikely-war-between-egypt-and-turkey-in-libya/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Hatim, Y. (2020) ‘Russia, Turkey, International Community Hail Libyan Dialogue in Morocco,’ Morocco World News, 12 September. Available at https://www.moroccoworldnews.com/2020/09/318168/russia-turkey-international-community-hail-libyan-dialogue-in-morocco (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Hürriyet Dialy News (2019) ‘Gülen Might Seek Fefuge in Egypt: Report,’ Hürriyet Dialy News, 23 January. Available at https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gulen-might-seek-refuge-in-egypt-report-140725 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Iddon, P. (2020) ‘Will The Egyptian and Turkish Militaries Clash In Libya?,’ Forbes, 9 July. Available at https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2020/07/09/will-the-egyptian-and-turkish-militaries-clash-in-libya/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Karadeniz, T. and Saleh, Y. (2011) ‘Egypt’s Islamists Warn Turkish PM over Regional Role,’ Reuters, 14 September. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-egypt-idUSTRE78D2TD20110914 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Maher, M. and Tsukerman, I. (2019) ‘Tensions between Egypt and Turkey Are on the Rise,’ Fickra Forum, 17 July. Available at https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/tensions-between-egypt-and-turkey-are-rise (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Melcangi, A. (2020) ‘Eastern Mediterranean: Testing Egypt’s Geopolitical Ambitions?,’ Italian Institute for International Political Studies, 17 July. Available at https://www.ispionline.it/en/publication/eastern-mediterranean-testing-egypts-geopolitical-ambitions-26985 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Middle East Monitor (2019) ‘Turkey’s Erdogan Refuses UN Dinner over Presence of Egypt's Sisi,’ Middle East Monitor, 27 September. Available at https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190927-turkeys-erdogan-refuses-un-dinner-over-presence-of-egypts-sisi/ (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Mogielnicki, R. (2019) ‘The Political Veneer of Economic Exchange: Turkish Relations with Saudi Arabia and Egypt,’ in: Tol., G. and Dumke, David (eds.) Aspiring Powers, Regional Rivals Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the New Middle East. Middle East Institute: Washington, United States, pp. 86-101. ISBN 979-8612846444

Morsy, A. (2020) ‘Sisi Says any Egyptian Intervention in Libya now Has International Legitimacy,’ Al-Ahram, 20 June. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/372562/Egypt/Politics-/Sisi-says-any-Egyptian-intervention-in-Libya-now-h.aspx?fbclid=IwAR0DwlMwT_5WY1X0Upngu9NsovJwhZuzgtPV-eCp1KJLmuya7X9828wT4yg (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Paksoy, Y. (2017) ‘UAE Allegedly Funneled $3B to Topple Erdoğan, Turkish Government,’ Daily Sabah, 13 June. Available at: https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/2017/06/13/uae-allegedly-funneled-3b-to-topple-erdogan-turkish-government (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Reuters Staff (2011) ‘U.S. Condemns Killings of Egypt Protesters, Turkey Wants U.N. Action,’ Reuters, 14 August. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-protests-reaction-idUSBRE97D11920130814 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Reuters Staff (2014) ‘Egypt, UAE Carried out Tripoli Air Strikes: U.S. Officials,’ Reuters, 25 August. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-airstrikes-idUSKBN0GP1VJ20140825 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

Salaheddin, A. (2019) ‘Struggle for the Center: Egyptian Relations with Saudi Arabia and Turkey in the Second Decade of the 21st Century,’ in: Tol., G. and Dumke, David (eds.) Aspiring Powers, Regional Rivals Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the New Middle East. Middle East Institute: Washington, United States, pp. 51-52. ISBN 979-8612846444

Smith, H. L. (ed.) (2019) Erdoğans Rising. William Collins: London, Great Britain, pp. 115. ISBN 978-0008308841

Soliman, M. (2021) ‘Erdogan Says Turkey Seeks to Restore “Historic Unity” with Egyptian People,’ Al-Ahram, 7 May. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContentP/1/410735/Egypt/Erdogan-says-Turkey-seeks-to-restore-historic-unit.aspx (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Soylu, R. (2022) ‘Turkey to Appoint Ambassador to Egypt, Ending Nine-Year Standoff,’ Middle East Eye, 5 April. Available at https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-appoint-ambassador-egypt-ending-standoff (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Stanicek, B. (2020) Turkey: Remodelling the Eastern Mediterranean Conflicting Exploration of Natural Gas Reserves European Parliament Briefing. European Union: European Parliament Think Thank. Available at https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document/EPRS_BRI(2020)652048 (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

The New Arab (2019) ‘Turkey's Erdogan Slams “Tyrant” Sisi in Tribute to Egypt's “Martyr” Mohammed Morsi,’ The New Arab, 17 June. Available at https://www.newarab.com/news/turkeys-erdogan-pays-tribute-martyr-morsi (Accessed: 27 February 2023)

The Arab Weekly (2022) ‘Turkey's Erdogan Slams “Tyrant' Sisi in Tribute to Egypt's “Martyr” Mohammed Morsi,’ The Arab Weekly, 17 June. Available at https://thearabweekly.com/egypt-signs-deals-greece-amid-talk-rapprochement-turkey (Accessed: 28 February 2023)

Downloads

Published

2024-02-18

Versions

How to Cite

Krajcsír, L. (2024). Burying the Hatchet but with the Handle Sticking Out : The Egyptian–Turkish Rapprochement – and its Questions. Journal of Central and Eastern European African Studies, 3(2), 92–108. https://doi.org/10.59569/jceeas.2023.3.2.160