Trends in Egyptian Terrorism in the Post-Mubarak Period

Authors

  • Abdallah Abdel-Ati Al-Naggar Academy of Scientific Research, Technology
  • Zoltán Prantner Kodolányi János University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59569/jceeas.2023.3.2.171

Keywords:

Egypt, Terrorism, Mohamed Morsi, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, Sinai Peninsula, Muslim Brotherhood

Abstract

Abstract: Egypt has experienced a distinct wave of terrorism since the early 1980s. An analysis of trends shows that the intensity of political violence and armed clashes has increased significantly since the ousting of President Mohamed Morsi on 3 July 2013. Terrorist acts have since spread from the Sinai Peninsula to mainland Egypt, where the perpetrators have included religious fundamentalists and marginalised Bedouin groups in society, as well as increasing numbers of political opponents of the Sisi regime. However, the use of extremist means to gain religious, ideological, and political legitimacy has provoked an increasingly violent response from the Cairo leadership, which has launched several large-scale operations to dismantle terrorist bases in the country. Although the clashes have claimed the lives of thousands of soldiers, police and civilians, the fight is far from over.

In the present study, the authors outline the demographic background and social problems of Egypt's modern history of terrorism, in an attempt to give a sense of the trends. Their overall conclusion is that, despite the Egyptian government's propaganda announcements, the large-scale action of the security forces has not been able to completely eradicate the presence of fundamentalists in the country but has been able to significantly reduce their operational capabilities in the region.

References

Aboelnaga, S, Tóth, A. Tamás, and Neszmélyi, Gy. (2019) ‘Climate Change Hazards Mitigation Policies in the Frame of the Administration Levels in Egypt,’ The Central European Journal of Regional Development and Tourism, 11(2), pp. 185–201. ISSN 1821-2506 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32725/det.2019.022

Aftandilian, G. (2015) ‘Egypt Needs a Comprehensive Approach to Terrorism,’ The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy, November 16. Available at https://timep.org/2015/11/16/egypt-needs-a-comprehensive-approach-to-terrorism/ (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Ahram Online (2015) ‘Explosion at Police Building in Greater Cairo Slightly Wounds 29,’ Ahram Online, August 20. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/138296/Egypt/Politics-/Explosion-at-police-building-in-Greater-Cairo-slig.aspx (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Al-Anani, K. (2020) Egypt’s Counterterrorism Strategy in Sinai: Challenges and Failures,’ Arab Center Washington DC, August 28. Available at https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/egypts-counterterrorism-strategy-in-sinai-challenges-and-failures/ (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Al-Anani, K. (2023) ‘Are Gulf Leaders Abandoning Egypt?,’ Middle East Eye, January 19. Available at https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/egypt-gulf-leaders-abandoning-are (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Al-Jazeera (2017) ‘Egypt: Six Troops, 24 Attackers Killed in Sinai Attacks,’ Al-Jazeera, October 15. Available at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/15/egypt-six-troops-24-attackers-killed-in-sinai-attacks/ (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Al-Jazeera (2022) ‘Four Killed in Attack on Police Checkpoint in Egypt’s Ismailia,’ Al-Jazeera, December 31. Available at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/12/31/deadly-attack-on-police-checkpoint-in-egypt-ismailia (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Al-Monitor (2014) ‘Sinai Ignored in Egypt Development Plans,’ Al-Monitor, May 1. Available at https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2014/04/sinai-egypt-residents-anger-empty-government-promises.html (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Al-Monitor (2017) ‘Islamic State Sees Dollar Signs in Egypt,’ Al-Monitor, October 24. Available at https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2017/10/egypt-sinai-islamic-state-bank-robbery.html (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Al-Monitor (2020) ‘Tribes Become More Involved in Anti-Terrorism Operations in Sinai Peninsula,’ Al-Monitor, June 15. Available at https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2020/06/egypt-army-campaign-tribes-pardon-extremist-groups.html (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Al-Monitor (2022) ‘Egyptian Army Changes Strategy in War Against Terrorism in Sinai,’ Al-Monitor, May 30. Available at https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/05/egyptian-army-changes-strategy-war-against-terrorism-sinai (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Ashour, O. (2015) ‘Enduring Repression and Insurgency in Egypt's Sinai,’ BBC News, August 13. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33905477 (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Awad, M. and Hashem, M. (2015) ‘Egypt’s Escalating Islamist Insurgency,’ Carnegie Middle East Center, October. Available at https://carnegieendowment.org/files/CMEC_58_Egypt_Awad_Hashem_final.pdf (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Awad, M. (2017) ‘The Rise of the Violent Muslim Brotherhood,’ in Hillel, F., Haqqani, H., and Brown, E. B. (eds.) Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, Hudson Institute, Vol. 22, November, 2017. pp. 5–40. ISSN 1940-834X

Aziz, S. F. (2016) ‘Rethinking Counterterrorism in the Age of ISIS: Lessons from Sinai,’ Nebraska Law Review, 95(2), pp. 307–365. ISSN 0047-9209 DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2734341

Bar’el, Z. (2012) ‘Sinai Bedouin Throwing Off Image as 'Zionist Collaborators,’ Haaretz, May 2. Available at https://www.haaretz.com/2012-05-02/ty-article/sinai-bedouin-throwing-off-image-as-zionist-collaborators/0000017f-ea03-df5f-a17f-fbdf08650000 (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Bassist, R. (2021) ‘Israel Agrees to More Egyptian Troops in Sinai,’ Al-Monitor, November 9, 2021. Available at https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/11/israel-agrees-more-egyptian-troops-sinai (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

BBC News (2015a) ‘Egypt's Sinai Rocked by Wave of Deadly Attacks,’ BBC News, July 1. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33340458 (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

BBC News (2015b) ‘Egypt Navy Ship “Hit by Sinai Militants” Missile,’ BBC News, July 16. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33557180 (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

BBC News (2017a) ‘Egypt Declares State of Emergency after Deadly Church Attacks,’ BBC News, April 10. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-39548645 (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

BBC News (2017b) ‘Egypt Attack: Gunman Targets Coptic Christians in Church and Shop’, BBC News, December 29. Available at https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-42511813 (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

CBS News (2015) ‘Deadly Blast at Italian Consulate in Cairo,’ CBS News, July 11. Available at https://www.cbsnews.com/news/italian-consulate-bombed-in-cairo-egypt/ (Accessed: 18 March 2023)

Csicsmann, L. (2012) ‘A mérsékelt iszlamista mozgalmak szerepe az „arab tavaszt” követő politikai átmenetben,’ Külügyi Szemle, 1, pp. 103–127. ISSN 2060-5013

Csicsmann, L. (2020) Arab tavasz – Arab Tél? A Posztkoloniális államok a Közel-Keleten. Budapest: Nemzeti Közszolgálati Egyetem. ISBN 978-963-498-165-7

Dentice, G. (2018a) The Geopolitics of Violent Extremism: The Case of Sinai. 36 Papers European Institute of the Mediterranean, EuroMeSCO series, February. Available at https://www.euromesco.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/EuroMeSCo36-Geopolitics-of-Violent-Extremism.-The-Case-of-Sinai.pdf (Accessed: 26 March 2023) ISSN 1 888-5357

Dentice, G. (2018b) ‘The Battle for Sinai: The Inside Story of Egypt’s Political Violence,’ Al Jazeera Centre for Studies, April 1. Available at https://studies.aljazeera.net/sites/default/files/articles/reports/documents/993c41648e6249f58c843418afcd1e7b_100.pdf (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Egypt Independent (2022) ‘Suez Canal Records Highest Monthly Revenue in Its History,’ Egypt Independent, August 2. Available at https://egyptindependent.com/suez-canal-records-highest-monthlyrevenue-in-its-history/ (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Egyptian Streets (2017) ‘Death Toll of North Sinai Mosque Attack Rises to 311,’ Egyptian Streets, November 30. Available at https://egyptianstreets.com/2017/11/30/death-toll-of-north-sinai-mosque-attack-rises-to-311/ (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

El-Din, G. E. (2033) ‘The Cost of Terrorism,’ Ahram Online, February 9. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/News/487724.aspx (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Eleiba, A. (2013) ‘Clashes in Sinai over Morsi Removal,’ Ahram Online, July 5. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/75792/Egypt/Politics-/Clashes-in-Sinai-over-Morsi-removal.aspx (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Eleiba, A. (2015) ‘The Martyr's Right is Egypt's Largest Military Action in North Sinai in Months: Sources,’ Ahram Online, September 8. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/0/139972/Egypt/0/The-Martyrs-Right-is-Egypts-largest-military-actio.aspx (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

El-Gundy, Z. (2018) ‘A Look at Hasm and Lewaa Al-Thawra Terror Groups,’ Ahram Online, February 3. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/151/256787/Egypt/Features/A-look-at-Egypts-youngest-militant-groups-Hasm-and.aspx (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

France 24 (2015) ‘Russia’s Putin Suspends All Flights to Egypt on Security Advice,’ France 24, November 6. Available at https://www.france24.com/en/20151106-russia-suspends-flights-egypt-britain (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Gilbert, H. (2013) ‘Nature = Life: Enviromental Identity as Resistance in South Sinai,’ Nomadic Peoples, 17(2), pp. 40–67. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3167/np.2013.170205 ISSN 0822-7942

Gold, Z. (2014) ‘Security in the Sinai: Present and Future,’ The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism - The Hague 5(4).

Graham-Harrison, E. (2015) ‘How Sinai Became a Magnet for Terror,’ Guardian, November 8. Available at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/nov/08/sinai-magnet-for-terror (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Grinberg, E. and Sirgany, S. (2017) ‘Egyptians Respond to ISIS Church Bombings: “Your Terrorism Brings Us Together”,’ CNN, April 9. Available at http://edition.cnn.com/2017/04/09/middleeast/egypt-palm-sunday-church-bombings/index.html (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Harb, A. (2012) ‘Gas Pipeline in Sinai Bombed for 15th Time Since Revolution Started,’ Egypt Independent, July 22. Available at https://www.egyptindependent.com/gas-pipeline-sinai-bombed-15th-time-revolution-started/ (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Hashem, M. (2014) ‘Sinai Campaign a Boon to the Islamic State,’ Carnegie Middle East Center, December 5. Available at https://carnegieendowment.org/sada/57412 (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Hassan, Mai–Mattingly, Daniel–Nugent, Elizabeth R. (2022) ‘Political Control,’ Annual Review of Political Science, 25: 155–174. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051120-013321

Hendawi, Hamza (2022) ‘Egypt Has Lost More than 3,000 in Fight against Militants Since 2013, Says El Sisi,’ MENA, April 27. Available at https://www.thenationalnews.com/mena/2022/04/27/egypt-has-lost-more-than-3000-in-fight-against-militants-since-2013-says-el-sisi/ (Accessed: 18 March 2023)

Human Rights Watch (2014) ‘All According to Plan. The Rab’a Massacre and Mass Killings of Protesters in Egypt,’ Human Rights Watch, August 12. Available at https://www.hrw.org/report/2014/08/12/all-according-plan/raba-massacre-and-mass-killings-protesters-egypt (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Human Rights Watch (2019) ‘If You Are Afraid for Your Lives, Leave Sinai! Egyptian Security Forces and ISIS-Affiliate Abuses in North Sinai,’ Human Rights Watch, May 28, 2019. Available at https://www.hrw.org/report/2019/05/28/if-you-are-afraid-your-lives-leave-sinai/egyptian-security-forces-and-isis (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Issacharoff, A. (2011) ‘Report: Three Egyptians Took Part in Terrorist Attacks on Southern Israel,’ Haaretz, August 24. Available at https://www.haaretz.com/2011-08-24/ty-article/report-three-egyptians-took-part-in-terrorist-attacks-on-southern-israel/0000017f-e322-d7b2-a77f-e327599d0000 (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Jehl, D. (1997) ‘At Ancient Site Along the Nile, Modern Horror,’ The New York Times, November 19. Available at https://www.nytimes.com/1997/11/19/world/at-ancient-site-along-the-nile-modern-horror.html (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Joscelyn, T. (2017) ‘Islamic State Leader in Egypt Says Church Bombings Aren’t Popular,’ Long War Journal, May 4. Available at https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/05/islamic-state-leader-in-egypt-says-church-bombings-arent-popular.php (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Katz, Y. (2011) ‘Egypt Launches Massive Operation to Control Sinai,’ The Jerusalem Post, August 14, 2011. Available at https://www.jpost.com/Defense/Egypt-launches-massive-operation-to-control-Sinai (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Khalifa, A. (2017) ‘Sisi's Egypt and the Politics of Fear,’ Middle East Eye, October 23. Available at https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/sisis-egypt-and-politics-fear (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Khalil, A. (2013) ‘The Saga of Sinai: A Neglected Hotspot Egypt’s Morsi Must Not Let Explode,’ Time, June 21. Available at https://world.time.com/2013/06/21/the-saga-of-sinai-a-neglected-hotspot-egypts-morsi-must-not-let-explode/ (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Kingsley, P. (2014) ‘Egyptian jihadis pledge allegiance to Isis,’ The Guardian, November 10. Available at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/10/egyptian-jihadists-pledge-allegiance-isis (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Kirkpatrick, D. D. (2014) ‘31 Egyptian Soldiers Are Killed as Militants Attack in Sinai,’ The New York Times, October 24. Available at https://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/25/world/middleeast/militants-kill-at-least-26-egyptian-soldiers-in-sinai-peninsula-attack.html (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Kirkpatrick, D. D. (2015) ‘Egypt Destroying Far More Homes Than Buffer-Zone Plan Called For, Report Says,’ The New York Times, September 22. Available at https://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/22/world/egypt-destroying-far-more-homes-than-buffer-zone-plan-called-for-report-says.html (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

McGregor, A. (2016) ‘Why Are Egypt's Counter-Terrorism Efforts Failing in the Sinai Peninsula?,’ Terrorism Monitor, 14(24) December 15, 2016. Available at https://jamestown.org/program/egypts-counter-terrorism-efforts-failing-sinai-peninsula/ (Accessed: 17 March 2023) ISSN 2048-352X

Mada Masr (2023) ‘Officer Killed, 4 Soldiers Injured on Monday in Potential 1st South Sinai Militant Attack since 2019,’ Mada Masr, March 1. Available at https://www.madamasr.com/en/2023/03/01/news/u/officer-killed-4-soldiers-injured-on-monday-in-potential-1st-south-sinai-militant-attack-since-2019/ (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Maher, H. and Sherif, T. (2012) ‘Updated: Egyptian Troops Strike Hard in North Sinai after Multiple Attacks,’ Ahram Online, July 5, 2013. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/49906/Egypt/Politics-/UPDATED-Egyptian-troops-strike-hard-in-North-Sinai.aspx (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

McManus, A. (2020) ‘The Egyptian Military’s Terrorism Containment Campaign in North Sinai,’ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, June 30. Available at https://carnegieendowment.org/sada/82218 (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Medhat, O. and King, L. (2017) ‘Egyptian Christians Flee Islamic State Violence on Sinai Peninsula,’ Los Angeles Times, February 26. Available at https://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-egypt-christians-violence-20170226-story.html (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

MEMO (2020) ‘Daesh-Affiliate executes 4 Egyptians in North Sinai,’ Middle East Monitor, Augustus 14. Available at https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200814-daesh-affiliate-executes-4-egyptians-in-north-sinai/ (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Murphy, Caryle (2002) Passion for Islam: Shaping the Modern Middle East: the Egyptian Experience, New York: Scribner. ISBN 0743235789

N. Rózsa, E. (2015) Az arab tavasz. A Közel-Kelet átalakulása. Budapest: Osiris-KKI. ISBN 9789632762609

Naguib, S. (2021) ‘Egypt: IS Executes Two Civilians for Collaborating with Military in North Sinai,’ Middle East Eye, April 13. Available at https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/egypt-islamic-state-sinai-executes-civilians-cooperating-military (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Naguib, S. (2022) ‘Egypt: Senior Officer, Three Pro-Government Militia Allies Killed in North Sinai,’ Middle East Eye, November 7. Available at https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/egypt-north-sinai-senior-officer-pro-government-militia-killed (Accessed: 19 March 2023)

Neszmélyi, Gy. I. (2018) ‘Egypt: From the Rule of the Army Back to the Rule of the Army again – Is this all that the Arab Spring Should Have Brought about?,’ in Besenyő, J. and Marsai, V. (eds.) The Dynamics of Conflicts in Africa in the Early 21st Century, Budapest: Dialóg Campus, pp. 109–130. ISBN 9786155889578

Neszmélyi, Gy. I. (2019) ‘Egyiptom társadalmi és gazdasági helyzete napjainkban,’ Mediterrán és Balkán Fórum, 12(3) pp. 2–22.

Ouf, I. (2017) ‘Egypt Closes in on Muslim Brotherhood,’ The Arab Weekly, July 30. Available at https://www.thearabweekly.com/egypt-closes-muslim-brotherhood (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Prantner, Z. (2015) ‘Terrorista kihívások a Sínai-félszigeten,’ in Kiss Álmos Péter (ed.) Afrikai terrorista- és szakadár szervezetek. Budapest: MH Honvéd Vezérkar Tudományos Kutatóműhely, Budapest, pp. 9–28. ISBN 9789638994844

Raghavan, Sudarsan–Mahfouz, Heba Farouk (2017) ‘Dozens of Egyptian Police Are Killed in Raid on Suspected Militant Base,’ The Washington Post, October 21. Available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/dozens-of-egyptian-police-killed-in-raid-on-suspected-militant-base/2017/10/21/688e24f8-8359-4492-94cc-ff7b5f55964d_story.html?utm_term=.d1d3c1046905 (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Reuters (2016) ‘Egyptian Judge Who Tried Mursi Survives Assassination Attempt -Ministry,’ Reuters, November 4. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/ozatp-uk-egypt-violence-idAFKBN12Z1SS (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Reuters (2022) ‘Five Egyptian Soldiers Killed in Second Deadly Sinai Attack,’ Reuters, May 11. Available at https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/five-egyptian-troops-killed-attack-north-sinai-peninsula-sources-2022-05-11/ (Accessed: 18 March 2023)

Revkin, M. (2013) ‘Radicalization in the Sinai Peninsula,’ Middle East Monitor, Augustus 29. Available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/egypts-power-vacuum-is-radicalizing-the-sinai-peninsula/2013/08/29/77c427d2-10bb-11e3-bdf6-e4fc677d94a1_story.html (Accessed: 15 March 2023)

Sabry, M. (2015) Sinai: Egypt’s Linchpin, Gaza’s Lifeline, Israel’s Nightmare. Cairo: AUC Press. ISBN 978-9774167287

Sakr, Taha (2017) ‘Breaking: 18 Policemen Killed in Violent “IED”, Militant Ground Attack Inside Al-Arish,’ Egypt Independent, September 11. Available at https://www.egyptindependent.com/breaking-18-policemen-killed-violent-ied-militant-ground-attack-inside-al-arish/ (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Saleh, Y. and Fick, M. (2014) ‘Egypt's Sisi Takes Office to Cool Reception from West,’ Reuters, June 8. Available at https://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-sisi-inauguration/egypts-sisi-takes-office-to-cool-reception-from-west-idUSKBN0EJ07P20140608 (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Shukrallah, S. (2013) ‘Once Election Allies, Egypt's “Fairmont” Opposition Turn Against Morsi,’ Ahram Online, June 27. Available at https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/152/74485/Egypt/Morsi,-one-year-on/-Once-election-allies,-Egypts-Fairmont-opposition-.aspx (Accessed: 11 March 2023)

Sinai Foundation for Human Rights (2021) ‘At Ancient Site Along the Nile, Modern Horror,’ Sinai Foundation for Human Rights, April 8. Available at https://sinaifhr.org/show/77 (Accessed: 4 April 2023)

The New Arab (2018) ‘Sinai Residents Suffer, a Month into Egypt's Military Campaign,’ The New Arab, March 18. Available at https://www.newarab.com/features/sinai-residents-suffer-month-egypts-military-campaign (Accessed: 25 March 2023)

Trading Economics (n. d.) Egypt Tourism Revenues. Available at https://tradingeconomics.com/egypt/tourism-revenues (Accessed: 17 March 2023)

Wagoner, B. (2019) ‘Sisi’s Reelection: Issues of Egyptian Security and Terrorism,’ KKI Policy Brief, Budapest: Institute for Foreign Affairs and Trade.

Zitun, Y. (2012) ‘Watch: IAF strikes Sinai Terror Cell,’ Ynetnews.com, August 6. Available at https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4265265,00.html (Accessed: 26 March 2023)

Downloads

Published

2024-02-18

How to Cite

Al-Naggar, A. A.-A., & Prantner, Z. (2024). Trends in Egyptian Terrorism in the Post-Mubarak Period. Journal of Central and Eastern European African Studies, 3(2), 128–150. https://doi.org/10.59569/jceeas.2023.3.2.171